2019年12月23日
民研計劃發放社會現況評價及民情指數
特別宣佈
1. 香港民意研究計劃（香港民研）前身為香港大學民意研究計劃（港大民研）。公報內的「民研計劃」指的可以是香港民研或其前身港大民研。
2. 民研計劃在每年的年中及年底前，會分別發放《特區成立週年》和《年終回顧前瞻》調查系列，供大眾參考。由於香港回歸是在7月1日舉行，因此，以半年為總結的民調數字來審視香港社會的宏觀發展，可能會比以一年為總結的數字更加合適和準確。今日發放的社會現況評價及民情指數系列是本年度的最後一次。
3. 2019年尚餘一項未發放調查項目「年終回顧」，暫定公布日期為12月30日 (星期一)。
4. 民研計劃在二十八年前開展澳門研究，包括定期調查及選舉研究，希望逐步建立一套地區性的科學民意調查機制、為日後的比較研究提供數據。二十八年過後，我們希望交由公民社會決定是否繼續進行澳門調查。我們決定透過眾籌平台https://www.collaction.hk/project/story/1300/，以二十四萬元為目標，讓市民大眾尤其是澳門居民決定是否繼續進行調查。達標的話，我們會迅速進行新的一輪調查。有關以往澳門研究的詳情，請參閱以下網址：https://wp.pori.hk/macau-annual-survey-index。
公報簡要
民研計劃於十二月中由真實訪問員以隨機抽樣電話訪問方式成功訪問了1,046名香港居民。結果顯示，最新調查顯示，市民對現時經濟、民生及政治狀況的滿意淨值分別為負40、負53及負84個百分點。以三選一的方式提問，分別有41%和40%被訪市民表示最關心民生和政治問題，而表示最關心經濟問題的，只佔16%。與一年前比較，表示最關心民生問題的比率大幅下跌25個百分點，而表示最關心政治問題的比率就大幅上升27個百分點，前者現時為2008年以來新低，後者則為1992年調查開展以來新高。以0-10分計算，市民對民生、政治及經濟問題關心程度的評分，分別是7.57、7.09及6.90分，前兩者均為2005年調查開展以來新高。民情指數方面，最新數字為54.3，較十二月上旬微升0.1點。調查的實效回應比率為61.6%。在95%置信水平下，調查的百分比誤差不超過+/-3%，淨值誤差不超過+/-5%，評分誤差不超過+/-0.2。
樣本資料
| 調查日期 | ： | 13-18/12/2019 |
| 調查方法 | ： | 由真實訪問員進行隨機抽樣電話訪問 |
| 訪問對象 | ： | 18歲或以上操粵語的香港居民 |
| 成功樣本數目[1] | ： | 1,046 (包括535個固網及511個手機樣本) |
| 實效回應比率[2] | ： | 61.6% |
| 抽樣誤差[3] | ： | 在95%置信水平下，百分比誤差不超過+/-3%，淨值誤差不超過+/-5%，評分誤差不超過+/-0.2 |
| 加權方法 | ： | 按照政府統計處提供的統計數字以「反覆多重加權法」作出調整。全港人口年齡及性別分佈統計數字來自《二零一八年年中人口數字》，而教育程度（最高就讀程度）及經濟活動身分統計數字則來自《香港的女性及男性 - 主要統計數字》（2018年版）。 |
[1] 數字為調查的總樣本數目，個別題目則可能只涉及次樣本。有關數字請參閱下列數表內列出的樣本數目。
[2]
民研計劃在2017年9月前以「整體回應比率」彙報樣本資料，2017年9月開始則以「實效回應比率」彙報。2018年7月，民研計劃再調整實效回應比率的計算方法，因此改變前後的回應比率不能直接比較。
[3]
此公報中所有誤差數字均以95%置信水平計算。95%置信水平，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次各自計算出的誤差範圍會包含人口真實數字。由於調查數字涉及抽樣誤差，傳媒引用百分比數字時，應避免使用小數點，在引用評分數字時，則可以使用一個小數點。
社會現況評價
以下是市民對社會狀況的評價：
| 調查日期 | 17-19/7/19 | 15-20/8/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 17-23/10/19 | 15-21/11/19 | 13-18/12/19 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 1,002 | 1,023 | 1,061 | 1,038 | 1,008 | 1,046 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 59.8% | 68.5% | 69.5% | 63.2% | 74.1% | 61.6% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及 誤差 |
-- |
| 現時經濟狀況滿意率[4] | 28% | 25% | 19%[5] | 19% | 20% | 17+/-2% | -3% |
| 現時經濟狀況不滿率[4] | 47% | 53%[5] | 55% | 61%[5] | 57%[5] | 57+/-3% | -- |
| 滿意率淨值 | -19% | -29%[5] | -35% | -42%[5] | -37% | -40+/-5% | -3% |
| 平均量值[4] | 2.6 | 2.5[5] | 2.4[5] | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4+/-0.1 | -- |
| 現時民生狀況滿意率[4] | 21% | 16%[5] | 13% | 14% | 17% | 14+/-2% | -3% |
| 現時民生狀況不滿率[4] | 64% | 69%[5] | 70% | 71% | 69% | 68+/-3% | -1% |
| 滿意率淨值 | -43% | -54%[5] | -57% | -57% | -52% | -53+/-5% | -2% |
| 平均量值[4] | 2.2 | 2.1[5] | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1[5] | 2.1+/-0.1 | -- |
| 現時政治狀況滿意率[4] | 5% | 5% | 3%[5] | 3% | 4% | 3+/-1% | -1% |
| 現時政治狀況不滿率[4] | 87%[5] | 88% | 85% | 88% | 83%[5] | 88+/-2% | +4%[5] |
| 滿意率淨值 | -82%[5] | -83% | -82% | -85% | -79%[5] | -84+/-3% | -5%[5] |
| 平均量值[4] | 1.5[5] | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5[5] | 1.4+/-0.0 | -- |
[4] 數字採自五等量尺。平均量值是把答案按照正面程度，以1分最低5分最高量化成為1、2、3、4、5分，再求取樣本平均數值。
[5]
該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
市民對現時經濟、民生及政治狀況的滿意程度，最新滿意率分別為17%、14%及3%，而滿意淨值就分別為負40、負53及負84個百分點。經濟狀況的平均量值為2.4，即整體上介乎「一半半」及「幾不滿」之間；民生狀況的平均量值為2.1，即整體上接近「幾不滿」；政治狀況的平均量值為1.4，即整體上介乎「幾不滿」及「好不滿」之間。
市民對社會狀況關注程度的最新調查結果表列如下：
| 調查日期 | 19-22/12/16 | 19-22/6/17 | 18-19/12/17 | 14-21/6/18 | 17-20/12/18 | 13-18/12/19 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 1,009 | 1,007 | 1,013 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,046 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 70.9% | 71.2% | 64.9% | 59.6% | 60.6% | 61.6% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及 誤差 |
-- |
| 最關心民生問題比率 | 63%[7] | 68%[7] | 65% | 63% | 66% | 41+/-3% | -25%[7] |
| 最關心政治問題比率 | 17% | 13%[7] | 16%[7] | 16% | 13% | 40+/-3% | +27%[7] |
| 最關心經濟問題比率 | 18% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16+/-2% | -2% |
| 關心民生問題的評分[6] | 7.33 | 7.45[7] | 7.37 | 7.45 | 7.46 | 7.57+/-0.12 | +0.11 |
| 關心政治問題的評分[6] | 6.06 | 5.85[7] | 5.97 | 5.97 | 6.05 | 7.09+/-0.16 | +1.04[7] |
| 關心經濟問題的評分[6] | 6.84 | 6.88 | 6.81 | 6.97[7] | 6.99 | 6.90+/-0.14 | -0.09 |
[6] 2018年10月至12月，民研計劃為不同量尺描述程度的字眼進行測試，表中數字為綜合結果。詳情請參閱網站。
[7]
該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
最新調查顯示，以三選一的方式提問，分別有41%和40%被訪市民表示最關心民生和政治問題，而表示最關心經濟問題的，則佔16%。與一年前比較，表示最關心民生問題的比率大幅下跌25個百分點，而表示最關心政治問題的比率就大幅上升27個百分點，前者現時為2008年以來新低，後者則為1992年調查開展以來新高。以0-10分計算，市民對民生、政治及經濟問題關心程度的評分，分別是7.57、7.09及6.90分，前兩者均為2005年調查開展以來新高。
民情指數
民研計劃制定「民情指數」（PSI），目的在於量化香港市民對香港社會的情緒反應，以解釋及預視社會出現集體行動的可能性。民情指數包涵了「政通」和「人和」兩個概念，分別以「政評數值（GA）」和「社評數值（SA）」顯示。「政評數值（GA）」泛指市民對整體政府管治的表現評價，而「社評數值（SA）」則泛指市民對整體社會狀況的評價，分別由四及六項民意數字組合而成。指數本身及兩項數值均以0至200顯示，100代表正常。
以下為民情指數、政評數值及社評數值走勢圖：
| 最新數值 | 民情指數：54.3 (+0.1) | 政評數值：52.3 (+1.3) | 社評數值：58.6 (-1.1) |
以下是民情指數、政評數值、社評數值，及十項基礎民意數字的近期數值：
| 截數日期 | 3/10/19 | 23/10/19 | 8/11/19 | 21/11/19 | 3/12/19 | 18/12/19 | 最新變化 |
| 民情指數 | 54.7 | 50.5 | 50.2 | 54.2 | 54.2 | 54.3 | +0.1 |
| 政評數值 | 55.1 | 49.9 | 49.4 | 51.1 | 51.0 | 52.3 | +1.3 |
| 特首評分 | 22.3 | 20.2 | 19.5 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 19.6 | -0.1 |
| 特首民望淨值 | -65% | -71% | -71% | -72% | -72% | -68% | +4% |
| 政府滿意程度平均量值 | 1.8[8] | 1.7 | 1.7[8] | 1.7 | 1.7[8] | 1.8 | -- |
| 政府信任程度平均量值 | 2.2[8] | 2.1 | 2.1[8] | 2.2 | 2.2[8] | 2.2 | -- |
| 社評數值 | 56.6[8] | 54.2 | 54.2[8] | 59.7 | 59.7[8] | 58.6 | -1.1 |
| 政治狀況滿意程度 | 1.4[8] | 1.4 | 1.4[8] | 1.5 | 1.5[8] | 1.4 | -- |
| 政治狀況成份指標權數 | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.34 | +0.02 |
| 經濟狀況滿意程度 | 2.4[8] | 2.3 | 2.3[8] | 2.3 | 2.3[8] | 2.4 | -- |
| 經濟狀況成份指標權數 | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.32 | -0.02 |
| 民生狀況滿意程度 | 2.0[8] | 2.0 | 2.0[8] | 2.1 | 2.1[8] | 2.1 | -- |
| 民生狀況成份指標權數 | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.34 | -- |
[8] 當有關數字沒有更新時，民研計劃會採用最近一次已公佈的數字替代。
各項指數的具體數值，可按下表理解：
| 指數得分 | 百分位數 | 指數得分 | 百分位數 |
| 140-200 | 最高1% | 0-60 | 最低1% |
| 125 | 最高5% | 75 | 最低5% |
| 120 | 最高10% | 80 | 最低10% |
| 110 | 最高25% | 90 | 最低25% |
| 100為正常數值，即半數在上，半數在下 | |||
民情指數較十二月上旬上升0.1點至54.3，數字可以視為過去逾二十年來最差的1個百分比。民情指數的兩個成份數值中，反映市民對整體政府管治表現評價的政評數值上升1.3點至52.3，而反映市民對整體社會狀況評價的社評數值則下跌1.1點至58.6。兩者均可以視為過去逾二十年來最差的1個百分比。
數據分析
最新調查顯示，市民對現時經濟、民生及政治狀況的滿意淨值分別為負40、負53及負84個百分點。以三選一的方式提問，分別有41%和40%被訪市民表示最關心民生和政治問題，而表示最關心經濟問題的，只佔16%。與一年前比較，表示最關心民生問題的比率大幅下跌25個百分點，而表示最關心政治問題的比率就大幅上升27個百分點，前者現時為2008年以來新低，後者則為1992年調查開展以來新高。以0-10分計算，市民對民生、政治及經濟問題關心程度的評分，分別是7.57、7.09及6.90分，前兩者均為2005年調查開展以來新高。
民情指數方面，最新數字為54.3，較十二月上旬微升0.1點。
Dec 23, 2019
POP releases appraisals of society’s current conditions and Public Sentiment Index
Special Announcements
- The predecessor of Hong Kong Public Opinion Program (HKPOP) was The Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP). “POP” in this release can refer to HKPOP or its predecessor HKUPOP.
- POP’s usual practice is to issue releases before the middle and also the end of each year, under the names of “HKSAR anniversary” and “Year-end” survey series for public consumption. Because the handover of Hong Kong occurred on July 1, it may be more appropriate and accurate to analyze macro changes of Hong Kong society using half-yearly rather than yearly figures. The survey results on society’s current conditions and Public Sentiment Index released today belong to the last of these survey series in 2019.
- Tentative release date of last survey topic in 2019 – “Year-end review” is December 30 (Monday).
- POP started the Macau Study Series twenty-eight years ago. It included regular surveys and electoral studies, in hopes of building towards a regional, scientific public opinion survey mechanism, creating a robust systemic database for future comparative studies. After 28 years, we would like to let the people (especially Macau people) decide whether we should continue or not. We are using the crowdfunding platform https://www.collaction.hk/project/story/1300/ with a goal of HKD 240,000 to let people decide. If the target is reached, we will swiftly conduct our next survey. For details of our previous Macau studies, please visit: https://wp.pori.hk/macau-annual-survey-index.
Abstract
POP successfully interviewed 1,046 Hong Kong residents by random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers in mid-December. Latest results show that people’s net satisfaction rates with the current economic, livelihood and political conditions are negative 40, negative 53 and negative 84 percentage points respectively. Using a one-in-three choices method, 41% and 40% of the respondents were most concerned with livelihood and political problems respectively, while only 16% attached their greatest concern to economic problems. Compared to one year ago, the percentage of people most concerned with livelihood problems has plunged 25 percentage points while that of people most concerned with political problems has dramatically increased by 27 percentage points, with the former at its historical low since 2008 and the latter at its historical high since the survey series began in 1992. Using a scale of 0-10 marks, the ratings of people’s concern over livelihood, political and economic problems are 7.57, 7.09 and 6.90 marks respectively. The former two have both registered historical high since the survey series began in 2005. As for the PSI, the latest figure is 54.3, slightly up by 0.1 points from early December. The effective response rate of the survey is 61.6%. The maximum sampling error of percentages is +/-3%, that of net values is +/-5% and that of ratings is +/-0.2 at 95% confidence level.
Contact Information
| Date of survey | : | 13-18/12/2019 |
| Survey method | : | Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers |
| Target population | : | Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above |
| Sample size[1] | : | 1,046 (including 535 landline and 511 mobile samples) |
| Effective response rate[2] | : | 61.6% |
| Sampling error[3] | : | Sampling error of percentages not more than +/-3%, that of net values not more than +/-5% and that of ratings not more than +/-0.2 at 95% confidence level |
| Weighting method | : | Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2018”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2018 Edition)”. |
[1] This figure is the total sample size of the survey. Some questions may only involve a subsample, the size of which can be found in the tables below.
[2] Before September 2017, “overall response rate” was used to report surveys’ contact information. Starting from September 2017, “effective response rate” was used. In July 2018, POP further revised the calculation of effective response rate. Thus, the response rates before and after the change cannot be directly compared.
[3] All error figures in this release are calculated at 95% confidence level. “95% confidence level” means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times with different random samples, we would expect 95 times having the population parameter within the respective error margins calculated. Because of sampling errors, when quoting percentages, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places, whereas one decimal place can be used when quoting rating figures.
Appraisals of Society’s Current Conditions
People’s appraisals of society’s conditions are summarized as follows:
| Date of survey | 17-19/7/19 | 15-20/8/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 17-23/10/19 | 15-21/11/19 | 13-18/12/19 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 1,002 | 1,023 | 1,061 | 1,038 | 1,008 | 1,046 | -- |
| Response rate | 59.8% | 68.5% | 69.5% | 63.2% | 74.1% | 61.6% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Current economic condition: Satisfaction rate[4] |
28% | 25% | 19%[5] | 19% | 20% | 17+/-2% | -3% |
| Current economic condition: Dissatisfaction rate[4] |
47% | 53%[5] | 55% | 61%[5] | 57%[5] | 57+/-3% | -- |
| Net satisfaction rate | -19% | -29%[5] | -35% | -42%[5] | -37% | -40+/-5% | -3% |
| Mean value[4] | 2.6 | 2.5[5] | 2.4[5] | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4+/-0.1 | -- |
| Current livelihood condition: Satisfaction rate[4] |
21% | 16%[5] | 13% | 14% | 17% | 14+/-2% | -3% |
| Current livelihood condition: Dissatisfaction rate[4] |
64% | 69%[5] | 70% | 71% | 69% | 68+/-3% | -1% |
| Net satisfaction rate | -43% | -54%[5] | -57% | -57% | -52% | -53+/-5% | -2% |
| Mean value[4] | 2.2 | 2.1[5] | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1[5] | 2.1+/-0.1 | -- |
| Current political condition: Satisfaction rate[4] |
5% | 5% | 3%[5] | 3% | 4% | 3+/-1% | -1% |
| Current political condition: Dissatisfaction rate[4] |
87%[5] | 88% | 85% | 88% | 83%[5] | 88+/-2% | +4%[5] |
| Net satisfaction rate | -82%[5] | -83% | -82% | -85% | -79%[5] | -84+/-3% | -5%[5] |
| Mean value[4] | 1.5[5] | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5[5] | 1.4+/-0.0 | -- |
[4] Collapsed from a 5-point scale. The mean value is calculated by quantifying all individual responses into 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 marks according to their degree of positive level, where 1 is the lowest and 5 the highest, and then calculate the sample mean.
[5] The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
People’s latest satisfaction rates with the current economic, livelihood and political conditions are 17%, 14% and 3% respectively, while the net satisfaction rates are negative 40, negative 53 and negative 84 percentage points respectively. The mean score of economic condition is 2.4, meaning between “half-half” and “quite dissatisfied” in general; that of livelihood condition is 2.1, meaning close to “quite dissatisfied” in general; that of political condition is 1.4, meaning between “quite dissatisfied” and “very dissatisfied” in general.
Recent figures of people’s concerns of society’s conditions are summarized as follows:
| Date of survey | 19-22/12/16 | 19-22/6/17 | 18-19/12/17 | 14-21/6/18 | 17-20/12/18 | 13-18/12/19 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 1,009 | 1,007 | 1,013 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,046 | -- |
| Response rate | 70.9% | 71.2% | 64.9% | 59.6% | 60.6% | 61.6% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Most concerned with livelihood problems | 63%[7] | 68%[7] | 65% | 63% | 66% | 41+/-3% | -25%[7] |
| Most concerned with political problems | 17% | 13%[7] | 16%[7] | 16% | 13% | 40+/-3% | +27%[7] |
| Most concerned with economic problems | 18% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16+/-2% | -2% |
| Rating on concern for livelihood problems[6] | 7.33 | 7.45[7] | 7.37 | 7.45 | 7.46 | 7.57+/-0.12 | +0.11 |
| Rating on concern for political problems[6] | 6.06 | 5.85[7] | 5.97 | 5.97 | 6.05 | 7.09+/-0.16 | +1.04[7] |
| Rating on concern for economic problems[6] | 6.84 | 6.88 | 6.81 | 6.97[7] | 6.99 | 6.90+/-0.14 | -0.09 |
[6] From October to December 2018, POP conducted tests on the wordings used in different rating scales. Figures in the table are the combined results. Please visit our website for details.
[7] The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Latest survey shows that using a one-in-three choices method, 41% and 40% of the respondents were most concerned with livelihood and political problems respectively, while 16% attached their greatest concern to economic problems. Compared to one year ago, the percentage of people most concerned with livelihood problems has plunged 25 percentage points while that of people most concerned with political problems has dramatically increased by 27 percentage points, with the former at its historical low since 2008 and the latter at its historical high since the survey series began in 1992. Using a scale of 0-10 marks, the ratings of people’s concern over livelihood, political and economic problems are 7.57, 7.09 and 6.90 marks respectively. The former two have both registered historical high since the survey series began in 2005.
Public Sentiment Index
The Public Sentiment Index (PSI) compiled by POP aims at quantifying Hong Kong people’s sentiments, in order to explain and predict the likelihood of collective behaviour. PSI comprises 2 components: one being Government Appraisal (GA) Score and the other being Society Appraisal (SA) Score. GA refers to people’s appraisal of society’s governance while SA refers to people’s appraisal of the social environment. Both GA and SA scores are compiled from a respective of 4 and 6 opinion survey figures. All PSI, GA and SA scores range between 0 to 200, with 100 meaning normal.
The chart of PSI, GA and SA are shown below:
| Latest figure | Public Sentiment Index (PSI): 54.3 (+0.1) |
Government Appraisal (GA): 52.3 (+1.3) |
Society Appraisal (SA): 58.6 (-1.1) |
Recent values of PSI, GA, SA and 10 fundamental figures are tabulated as follows:
| Cut-off date | 3/10/19 | 23/10/19 | 8/11/19 | 21/11/19 | 3/12/19 | 18/12/19 | Latest change |
| Public Sentiment Index (PSI) | 54.7 | 50.5 | 50.2 | 54.2 | 54.2 | 54.3 | +0.1 |
| Government Appraisal (GA) | 55.1 | 49.9 | 49.4 | 51.1 | 51.0 | 52.3 | +1.3 |
| Rating of CE | 22.3 | 20.2 | 19.5 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 19.6 | -0.1 |
| Net approval rate of CE | -65% | -71% | -71% | -72% | -72% | -68% | +4% |
| Mean value of people’s satisfaction with SARG | 1.8[8] | 1.7 | 1.7[8] | 1.7 | 1.7[8] | 1.8 | -- |
| Mean value of people’s trust in SARG | 2.2[8] | 2.1 | 2.1[8] | 2.2 | 2.2[8] | 2.2 | -- |
| Society Appraisal (SA) | 56.6[8] | 54.2 | 54.2[8] | 59.7 | 59.7[8] | 58.6 | -1.1 |
| People’s satisfaction with political condition | 1.4[8] | 1.4 | 1.4[8] | 1.5 | 1.5[8] | 1.4 | -- |
| Weighting index of political condition | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.32[8] | 0.34 | +0.02 |
| People’s satisfaction with economic condition | 2.4[8] | 2.3 | 2.3[8] | 2.3 | 2.3[8] | 2.4 | -- |
| Weighting index of economic condition | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.34[8] | 0.32 | -0.02 |
| People’s satisfaction with livelihood condition | 2.0[8] | 2.0 | 2.0[8] | 2.1 | 2.1[8] | 2.1 | -- |
| Weighting index of livelihood condition | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.35[8] | 0.34 | -- |
[8] POP will adopt the latest published figures when there are no respective updates.
As for the meaning of the score values, please refer to the following:
| Score value | Percentile | Score value | Percentile |
| 140-200 | Highest 1% | 0-60 | Lowest 1% |
| 125 | Highest 5% | 75 | Lowest 5% |
| 120 | Highest 10% | 80 | Lowest 10% |
| 110 | Highest 25% | 90 | Lowest 25% |
| 100 being normal level, meaning half above half below | |||
The latest PSI stands at 54.3, up by 0.1 points from early December. It can be considered as among the worst 1% across the past 20 years or so. Among the two component scores of PSI, the Government Appraisal (GA) Score that reflects people’s appraisal of society’s governance increases by 1.3 points to 52.3, whereas the Society Appraisal (SA) Score that reflects people’s appraisal of the social environment decreases by 1.1 points to 58.6. They can both be considered as among the worst 1%.
Data Analysis
Our latest survey shows that people’s net satisfaction rates with the current economic, livelihood and political conditions are negative 40, negative 53 and negative 84 percentage points respectively. Using a one-in-three choices method, 41% and 40% of the respondents were most concerned with livelihood and political problems respectively, while only 16% attached their greatest concern to economic problems. Compared to one year ago, the percentage of people most concerned with livelihood problems has plunged 25 percentage points while that of people most concerned with political problems has dramatically increased by 27 percentage points, with the former at its historical low since 2008 and the latter at its historical high since the survey series began in 1992. Using a scale of 0-10 marks, the ratings of people’s concern over livelihood, political and economic problems are 7.57, 7.09 and 6.90 marks respectively. The former two have both registered historical high since the survey series began in 2005.
As for the PSI, the latest figure is 54.3, slightly up by 0.1 points from early December.
