2020年9月8日香港民意研究所發佈會 – 傳媒參考資料
發佈會回顧
2020年9月8日 新聞公報
民研計劃發放特首及問責司局長民望數字
特別宣佈
香港民意研究計劃（香港民研）前身為香港大學民意研究計劃（港大民研）。公報內的「民研計劃」指的可以是香港民研或其前身港大民研。
根據我們早前進行的公眾諮詢結果，司長民望調查的頻率維持每個月一次，局長民望調查則由下半年開始減少為每兩個月一次。
公報簡要
民研計劃於八月底至九月初由真實訪問員以隨機抽樣電話訪問方式成功訪問了1,007名香港居民。最新結果顯示，特首林鄭月娥的最新評分為28.1分，民望淨值為負48個百分點，兩項民望數字與半個月前分別不大。司長方面，政務司司長張建宗的支持度評分為28.5分，民望淨值為負39個百分點。財政司司長陳茂波的支持度評分為35.5分，民望淨值為負18個百分點。至於律政司司長鄭若驊，其支持度評分為20.8分，民望淨值為負56個百分點。以上全部數字與一個月前分別不大。局長方面，十三位局長的民望淨值全部錄得負值。對比兩個月前，只有楊潤雄局長一人的淨支持率上升，其餘十二位局長全部下跌，當中陳肇始、曾國衞、羅致光、薛永恒、邱騰華和黃偉綸的支持率淨值變化超過抽樣誤差，分別下跌17、13、10、9、9和8個百分點。黃偉綸和羅致光的支持率淨值創其上任以來新低。調查的實效回應比率為58.4%。在95%置信水平下，調查的百分比誤差不超過+/-4%，淨值誤差不超過+/-7%，評分誤差不超過+/-2.4。
樣本資料
| 調查日期 | ： | 31/8-4/9/2020 |
| 調查方法 | ： | 由真實訪問員進行隨機抽樣電話訪問 |
| 訪問對象 | ： | 18歲或以上操粵語的香港居民 |
| 成功樣本數目[1] | ： | 1,007 (包括498個固網及509個手機樣本) |
| 實效回應比率 | ： | 58.4% |
| 抽樣誤差[2] | ： | 在95%置信水平下，百分比誤差不超過+/-4%，淨值誤差不超過+/-7%，評分誤差不超過+/-2.4 |
| 加權方法 | ： | 按照政府統計處提供的統計數字以「反覆多重加權法」作出調整。全港人口年齡及性別分佈統計數字來自《二零一九年年中人口數字》，而教育程度（最高就讀程度）及經濟活動身分統計數字則來自《香港的女性及男性 - 主要統計數字》（2019年版）。 |
[1] 數字為調查的總樣本數目，個別題目則可能只涉及次樣本。有關數字請參閱下列數表內列出的樣本數目。
[2] 此公報中所有誤差數字均以95%置信水平計算。95%置信水平，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次各自計算出的誤差範圍會包含人口真實數字。由於調查數字涉及抽樣誤差，傳媒引用百分比數字時，應避免使用小數點，在引用評分數字時，則可以使用一個小數點。
最新數據
以下是特首林鄭月娥的最新民望數字：
| 調查日期 | 15-18/6/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 20-24/7/20 | 3-6/8/20 | 17-20/8/20 | 31/8-4/9/20 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 1,002 | 1,001 | 1,029 | 1,001 | 1,020 | 1,007 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 62.5% | 64.4% | 60.9% | 58.4% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及 誤差 |
-- |
| 特首林鄭月娥評分 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 28.9 | 26.9 | 26.8 | 28.1+/-2.2 | +1.3 |
| 林鄭月娥出任特首支持率 | 22% | 23% | 18%[3] | 19% | 24%[3] | 21+/-3% | -3% |
| 林鄭月娥出任特首反對率 | 70% | 69% | 72% | 72% | 70% | 69+/-3% | -1% |
| 支持率淨值 | -48% | -46% | -53% | -54% | -46%[3] | -48+/-5% | -3% |
[3] 該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以下是各問責司長的最新民望數字：
| 調查日期 | 30/3-2/4/20 | 4-6/5/20 | 1-4/6/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 3-6/8/20 | 31/8-4/9/20 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 672-685 | 574-609 | 562-655 | 524-596 | 503-655 | 649-689 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 64.3% | 52.4% | 64.4% | 58.4% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 政務司司長張建宗評分 | 29.5[4] | 30.1 | 30.6 | 29.9 | 29.0 | 28.5+/-2.3 | -0.5 |
| 張建宗出任政務司司長支持率 | 16% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 16+/-3% | -1% |
| 張建宗出任政務司司長反對率 | 50%[4] | 49% | 51% | 52% | 55% | 54+/-4% | -1% |
| 支持率淨值 | -34%[4] | -32% | -32% | -33% | -39% | -39+/-6% | -- |
| 財政司司長陳茂波評分 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 34.3 | 37.8 | 37.0 | 35.5+/-2.4 | -1.5 |
| 陳茂波出任財政司司長支持率 | 23% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 28+/-3% | +3% |
| 陳茂波出任財政司司長反對率 | 49% | 49% | 47% | 44% | 46% | 46+/-4% | -- |
| 支持率淨值 | -26% | -24% | -21% | -16% | -20% | -18+/-6% | +2% |
| 律政司司長鄭若驊評分 | 18.7 | 20.2 | 18.7 | 20.3 | 22.2 | 20.8+/-2.4 | -1.4 |
| 鄭若驊出任律政司司長支持率 | 7% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 15%[4] | 13+/-3% | -2% |
| 鄭若驊出任律政司司長反對率 | 70% | 69% | 72% | 68% | 67% | 69+/-4% | +2% |
| 支持率淨值 | -63% | -61% | -61% | -57% | -53% | -56+/-6% | -3% |
[4] 該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以下是各問責局長的最新民望數字，按支持率淨值倒序排列[5]：
| 調查日期 | 4-6/5/20 | 1-4/6/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 31/8-4/9/20 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 611-659 | 577-1,002 | 584-634 | 580-645 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 62.5% | 64.3% | 52.4% | 58.4% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 黃錦星出任環境局局長支持率 | 29%[6] | 20%[6] | 24% | 22+/-3% | -2% |
| 黃錦星出任環境局局長反對率 | 23% | 28%[6] | 29% | 31+/-4% | +2% |
| 支持率淨值 | 7%[6] | -7%[6] | -4% | -9+/-6% | -5% |
| 許正宇出任財經事務及庫務局局長支持率 | 19% | 16% | 20% | 16+/-3% | -4% |
| 許正宇出任財經事務及庫務局局長反對率 | 20% | 22% | 25% | 27+/-4% | +2% |
| 支持率淨值 | -1% | -6% | -5% | -11+/-5% | -6% |
| 薛永恒出任創新及科技局局長支持率 | 20% | 18% | 23%[6] | 19+/-3% | -4% |
| 薛永恒出任創新及科技局局長反對率 | 23% | 28%[6] | 30% | 35+/-4% | +5% |
| 支持率淨值 | -3% | -10%[6] | -7% | -16+/-6% | -9%[6] |
| 黃偉綸出任發展局局長支持率 | 20% | 17% | 19% | 15+/-3% | -5%[6] |
| 黃偉綸出任發展局局長反對率 | 23% | 29%[6] | 29% | 32+/-4% | +4% |
| 支持率淨值 | -4% | -11% | -9% | -17+/-6% | -8%[6] |
| 徐英偉出任民政事務局局長支持率 | 19% | 18% | 19% | 17+/-3% | -2% |
| 徐英偉出任民政事務局局長反對率 | 22% | 33%[6] | 32% | 36+/-4% | +4% |
| 支持率淨值 | -3% | -15%[6] | -13% | -19+/-6% | -6% |
| 羅致光出任勞工及福利局局長支持率 | 26% | 26% | 29% | 24+/-4% | -4% |
| 羅致光出任勞工及福利局局長反對率 | 38% | 41% | 39% | 44+/-4% | +5% |
| 支持率淨值 | -12% | -15% | -10% | -20+/-7% | -10%[6] |
| 陳肇始出任食物及衛生局局長支持率 | 32%[6] | 32% | 30% | 27+/-4% | -3% |
| 陳肇始出任食物及衛生局局長反對率 | 37%[6] | 37% | 34% | 49+/-4% | +15%[6] |
| 支持率淨值 | -5%[6] | -5% | -4% | -21+/-7% | -17%[6] |
| 陳帆出任運輸及房屋局局長支持率 | 22% | 16%[6] | 19% | 20+/-3% | +1% |
| 陳帆出任運輸及房屋局局長反對率 | 42% | 45% | 43% | 45+/-4% | +2% |
| 支持率淨值 | -20% | -29%[6] | -24% | -26+/-6% | -2% |
| 聶德權出任公務員事務局局長支持率 | 25% | 21% | 21% | 23+/-3% | +2% |
| 聶德權出任公務員事務局局長反對率 | 34% | 39% | 45%[6] | 49+/-4% | +4% |
| 支持率淨值 | -9% | -18%[6] | -24% | -26+/-6% | -2% |
| 邱騰華出任商務及經濟發展局局長支持率 | 23% | 20% | 24% | 21+/-3% | -3% |
| 邱騰華出任商務及經濟發展局局長反對率 | 42%[6] | 48%[6] | 43% | 48+/-4% | +6%[6] |
| 支持率淨值 | -19%[6] | -28% | -18%[6] | -27+/-6% | -9%[6] |
| 曾國衞出任政制及內地事務局局長支持率 | 19% | 21% | 23% | 19+/-3% | -4% |
| 曾國衞出任政制及內地事務局局長反對率 | 37% | 42% | 41% | 50+/-4% | +9%[6] |
| 支持率淨值 | -18% | -21% | -18% | -31+/-6% | -13%[6] |
| 李家超出任保安局局長支持率 | 17% | 23%[6] | 26% | 21+/-3% | -5% |
| 李家超出任保安局局長反對率 | 64%[6] | 60% | 59% | 63+/-4% | +4% |
| 支持率淨值 | -47% | -37%[6] | -33% | -42+/-7% | -9% |
| 楊潤雄出任教育局局長支持率 | 18% | 13%[6] | 15% | 17+/-3% | +2% |
| 楊潤雄出任教育局局長反對率 | 54% | 64%[6] | 62% | 60+/-4% | -2% |
| 支持率淨值 | -35% | -51%[6] | -47% | -43+/-6% | +4% |
[5] 如四捨五入後的數字相同，則會再考慮小數點後的數字。
[6] 該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
最新調查顯示，特首林鄭月娥的評分為28.1分，其支持率為21%，反對率為69%，民望淨值為負48個百分點，全部數字與半個月前分別不大。
司長方面，政務司司長張建宗的支持度評分為28.5分，支持率為16%，反對率為54%，民望淨值為負39個百分點。財政司司長陳茂波的支持度評分為35.5分，支持率為28%，反對率為46%，民望淨值為負18個百分點。至於律政司司長鄭若驊，其支持度評分為20.8分，支持率為13%，反對率為69%，民望淨值為負56個百分點。以上全部數字與一個月前分別不大。
局長方面，十三位局長的民望淨值全部錄得負值，排名首位的是環境局局長黃錦星，然後是財經事務及庫務局局長許正宇、創新及科技局局長薛永恒、發展局局長黃偉綸、民政事務局局長徐英偉、勞工及福利局局長羅致光、食物及衛生局局長陳肇始、運輸及房屋局局長陳帆、公務員事務局局長聶德權、商務及經濟發展局局長邱騰華、政制及內地事務局局長曾國衞、保安局局長李家超及教育局局長楊潤雄。
對比兩個月前，一位局長的淨支持率上升，十二人下跌，當中陳肇始、曾國衞、羅致光、薛永恒、邱騰華和黃偉綸的支持率淨值變化超過抽樣誤差，分別下跌17、13、10、9、9和8個百分點。黃偉綸和羅致光的支持率淨值創其上任以來新低。
根據民研計劃的標準，沒有官員屬於「表現理想」或「表現成功」，陳茂波、陳肇始、羅致光、聶德權、黃錦星、邱騰華、陳帆、薛永恒及徐英偉屬於「表現一般」，許正宇及黃偉綸屬於「表現不彰」，李家超、楊潤雄、張建宗及曾國衞屬於「表現失敗」，林鄭月娥及鄭若驊屬於「表現拙劣」。
以下是特首林鄭月娥及各問責官員民望級別總表：
| 「表現理想」：支持率超過66%者，以支持率排名[7]，即括弧內數字 |
| 沒有官員 |
| 「表現成功」：支持率超過50%者，以支持率排名[7]，即括弧內數字 |
| 沒有官員 |
| 「表現一般」：非其他五類者，以支持率排名[7]，即括弧內數字 |
| 財政司司長陳茂波（28%）
食物及衛生局局長陳肇始（27%） 勞工及福利局局長羅致光（24%） 公務員事務局局長聶德權（23%） 環境局局長黃錦星（22%） 商務及經濟發展局局長邱騰華（21%） 運輸及房屋局局長陳帆（20%） 創新及科技局局長薛永恒（19%） 民政事務局局長徐英偉（17%） |
| 「表現不彰」：認知率不足50%者，以支持率排名[7]，括弧內第一數字為支持率，第二數字為認知率 |
| 財經事務及庫務局局長許正宇（16%，43%）
發展局局長黃偉綸（15%，47%） |
| 「表現失敗」：反對率超過50%者，以反對率排名[7]，即括弧內數字 |
| 保安局局長李家超（63%）
教育局局長楊潤雄（60%） 政務司司長張建宗（54%） 政制及內地事務局局長曾國衞（50%） |
| 「表現拙劣」：反對率超過66%者，以反對率排名[7]，即括弧內數字 |
| 特首林鄭月娥（69%）
律政司司長鄭若驊（69%） |
[7] 如四捨五入後的數字相同，則會再考慮小數點後的數字。
民意日誌
民研計劃於2007年開始與慧科訊業有限公司合作，由慧科訊業按照民研計劃設計的分析方法，將每日大事記錄傳送至民研計劃，經民研計劃核實後成為「民意日誌」。
由於本新聞公報所涉及的部分調查項目，上次調查日期為6-9/7/2020，而今次調查日期則為31/8-4/9/2020，因此是次公報中的「民意日誌」項目便以上述日期為依歸，讓讀者作出比較。以涵蓋率不下25%本地報章每日頭條新聞和報社評論計，在上述期間發生的相關大事包括以下事件，讀者可以自行判斷有關事件有否影響各項民調數字：
| 3/9/20 | 普及社區檢測計劃從已驗的12.8萬個樣本中找出兩宗新個案 |
| 2/9/20 | 政府宣布放寬防疫措施 |
| 1/9/20 | 普及社區檢測計劃開展首日有12.6萬人完成採樣 |
| 27/8/20 | 中國海警於8月23日截獲赴台快艇，拘捕12名香港青年 |
| 26/8/20 | 警方就7．21事件以暴動罪拘捕13名白衣人以外人士 |
| 25/8/20 | 政府宣布放寬防疫措施 |
| 19/8/20 | 香港失業率升至6.1% |
| 18/8/20 | 政府公布第二期保就業計劃 |
| 10/8/20 | 警方引用國安法搜查壹傳媒，並拘捕黎智英及周庭等人 |
| 8/8/20 | 香港政府發表聲明譴責美國制裁11名中港官員 |
| 7/8/20 | 政府宣布推行免費全民自願冠狀病毒檢測 |
| 1/8/20 | 國家衛生健康委員會首批人員扺港 |
| 31/7/20 | 政府押後立法會選舉一年 |
| 30/7/20 | 12名民主派人士被裁定立法會選舉提名無效 |
| 29/7/20 | 全日禁止堂食規定實施，不少人於街邊用膳 |
| 28/7/20 | 香港大學校務委員會決定即時解僱戴耀廷 |
| 27/7/20 | 政府收緊限聚令至2人並宣布全日禁止堂食 |
| 25/7/20 | 香港新增126宗本地感染新冠肺炎個案，逾百名確診者未能安排即時送院 |
| 19/7/20 | 政府宣布部分公務員在家工作，市民在室內公共場所必須戴口罩 |
| 13/7/20 | 政府收緊限聚令至4人並禁止晚市堂食 |
| 6/7/20 | 政府刊憲公布國安法實施細則 |
數據分析
調查顯示，特首林鄭月娥的最新評分為28.1分，民望淨值為負48個百分點，兩項民望數字與半個月前分別不大。
司長方面，政務司司長張建宗的支持度評分為28.5分，民望淨值為負39個百分點。財政司司長陳茂波的支持度評分為35.5分，民望淨值為負18個百分點。至於律政司司長鄭若驊，其支持度評分為20.8分，民望淨值為負56個百分點。以上全部數字與一個月前分別不大。
局長方面，十三位局長的民望淨值全部錄得負值。對比兩個月前，只有楊潤雄局長一人的淨支持率上升，其餘十二位局長全部下跌，當中陳肇始、曾國衞、羅致光、薛永恒、邱騰華和黃偉綸的支持率淨值變化超過抽樣誤差，分別下跌17、13、10、9、9和8個百分點。黃偉綸和羅致光的支持率淨值創其上任以來新低。
Sep 8, 2020
Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute Press Conference – Press Materials
Press Conference Live
Press Release on September 8, 2020
POP releases popularity figures of CE and principal officials
Special Announcement
The predecessor of Hong Kong Public Opinion Program (HKPOP) was The Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP). “POP” in this release can refer to HKPOP or its predecessor HKUPOP.
According to the result of our public consultation conducted a while ago, the popularity survey of Secretaries of Departments will continue to be repeated once a month, while that for Directors of Bureaux will be thinned out to once every 2 months starting from the second half of this year.
Abstract
POP successfully interviewed 1,007 Hong Kong residents by a random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers from late August to early September. Latest results show that the popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam now stands at 28.1 marks. Her net popularity is negative 48 percentage points. Both popularity figures have not changed much from half a month ago. As for the Secretaries of Departments, the support rating of CS Matthew Cheung is 28.5 marks and his net popularity is negative 39 percentage points. The support rating of FS Paul Chan is 35.5 marks and his net popularity is negative 18 percentage points. As for SJ Teresa Cheng, her support rating is 20.8 marks and her net popularity is negative 56 percentage points. All popularity figures above have not changed much from a month ago. As for the Directors of Bureaux, all 13 of them register negative net approval rates. Compared to two months ago, only net approval rate of Kevin Yeung has gone up while the other 12 have all gone down. Those of Sophia Chan, Erick Tsang, Law Chi-kwong, Alfred Sit, Edward Yau and Michael Wong have changed beyond sampling error, down by 17, 13, 10, 9, 9 and 8 percentage points respectively. The net approval rates of Michael Wong and Law Chi-kwong have registered historical lows since they took office. The effective response rate of the survey is 58.4%. The maximum sampling error of percentages is +/-4%, that of net values is +/-7% and that of ratings is +/-2.4 at 95% confidence level.
Contact Information
| Date of survey | : | 31/8-4/9/2020 |
| Survey method | : | Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers |
| Target population | : | Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above |
| Sample size[1] | : | 1,007 (including 498 landline and 509 mobile samples) |
| Effective response rate | : | 58.4% |
| Sampling error[2] | : | Sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4%, that of net values not more than +/-7% and that of ratings not more than +/-2.4 at 95% conf. level |
| Weighting method | : | Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2019”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2019 Edition)”. |
[1] This figure is the total sample size of the survey. Some questions may only involve a subsample, the size of which can be found in the tables below.
[2] All error figures in this release are calculated at 95% confidence level. “95% confidence level” means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times with different random samples, we would expect 95 times having the population parameter within the respective error margins calculated. Because of sampling errors, when quoting percentages, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places, whereas one decimal place can be used when quoting rating figures.
Latest Figures
Recent popularity figures of CE Carrie Lam are summarized as follows:
| Date of survey | 15-18/6/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 20-24/7/20 | 3-6/8/20 | 17-20/8/20 | 31/8-4/9/20 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 1,002 | 1,001 | 1,029 | 1,001 | 1,020 | 1,007 | -- |
| Response rate | 54.1% | 52.4% | 62.5% | 64.4% | 60.9% | 58.4% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Rating of CE Carrie Lam | 29.0 | 29.0 | 28.9 | 26.9 | 26.8 | 28.1+/-2.2 | +1.3 |
| Vote of confidence in CE Carrie Lam | 22% | 23% | 18%[3] | 19% | 24%[3] | 21+/-3% | -3% |
| Vote of no confidence in CE Carrie Lam | 70% | 69% | 72% | 72% | 70% | 69+/-3% | -1% |
| Net approval rate | -48% | -46% | -53% | -54% | -46%[3] | -48+/-5% | -3% |
[3] The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Recent popularity figures of the three Secretaries of Departments under the accountability system are summarized below:
| Date of survey | 30/3-2/4/20 | 4-6/5/20 | 1-4/6/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 3-6/8/20 | 31/8-4/9/20 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 672-685 | 574-609 | 562-655 | 524-596 | 503-655 | 649-689 | -- |
| Response rate | 66.7% | 62.5% | 64.3% | 52.4% | 64.4% | 58.4% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Rating of CS Matthew Cheung | 29.5[4] | 30.1 | 30.6 | 29.9 | 29.0 | 28.5+/-2.3 | -0.5 |
| Vote of confidence in CS Matthew Cheung |
16% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 16+/-3% | -1% |
| Vote of no confidence in CS Matthew Cheung |
50%[4] | 49% | 51% | 52% | 55% | 54+/-4% | -1% |
| Net approval rate | -34%[4] | -32% | -32% | -33% | -39% | -39+/-6% | -- |
| Rating of FS Paul Chan | 32.4 | 33.3 | 34.3 | 37.8 | 37.0 | 35.5+/-2.4 | -1.5 |
| Vote of confidence in FS Paul Chan | 23% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 28+/-3% | +3% |
| Vote of no confidence in FS Paul Chan | 49% | 49% | 47% | 44% | 46% | 46+/-4% | -- |
| Net approval rate | -26% | -24% | -21% | -16% | -20% | -18+/-6% | +2% |
| Rating of SJ Teresa Cheng | 18.7 | 20.2 | 18.7 | 20.3 | 22.2 | 20.8+/-2.4 | -1.4 |
| Vote of confidence in SJ Teresa Cheng | 7% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 15%[4] | 13+/-3% | -2% |
| Vote of no confidence in SJ Teresa Cheng | 70% | 69% | 72% | 68% | 67% | 69+/-4% | +2% |
| Net approval rate | -63% | -61% | -61% | -57% | -53% | -56+/-6% | -3% |
[4] The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Latest popularity figures of Directors of Bureaux under the accountability system are summarized below, in descending order of net approval rates[5]:
| Date of survey | 4-6/5/20 | 1-4/6/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 31/8-4/9/20 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 611-659 | 577-1,002 | 584-634 | 580-645 | -- |
| Response rate | 62.5% | 64.3% | 52.4% | 58.4% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing | 29%[6] | 20%[6] | 24% | 22+/-3% | -2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing | 23% | 28%[6] | 29% | 31+/-4% | +2% |
| Net approval rate | 7%[6] | -7%[6] | -4% | -9+/-6% | -5% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui | 19% | 16% | 20% | 16+/-3% | -4% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui | 20% | 22% | 25% | 27+/-4% | +2% |
| Net approval rate | -1% | -6% | -5% | -11+/-5% | -6% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit | 20% | 18% | 23%[6] | 19+/-3% | -4% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit | 23% | 28%[6] | 30% | 35+/-4% | +5% |
| Net approval rate | -3% | -10%[6] | -7% | -16+/-6% | -9%[6] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Development Michael Wong | 20% | 17% | 19% | 15+/-3% | -5%[6] |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Development Michael Wong | 23% | 29%[6] | 29% | 32+/-4% | +4% |
| Net approval rate | -4% | -11% | -9% | -17+/-6% | -8%[6] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui | 19% | 18% | 19% | 17+/-3% | -2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui | 22% | 33%[6] | 32% | 36+/-4% | +4% |
| Net approval rate | -3% | -15%[6] | -13% | -19+/-6% | -6% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong | 26% | 26% | 29% | 24+/-4% | -4% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong | 38% | 41% | 39% | 44+/-4% | +5% |
| Net approval rate | -12% | -15% | -10% | -20+/-7% | -10%[6] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan | 32%[6] | 32% | 30% | 27+/-4% | -3% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan | 37%[6] | 37% | 34% | 49+/-4% | +15%[6] |
| Net approval rate | -5%[6] | -5% | -4% | -21+/-7% | -17%[6] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan | 22% | 16%[6] | 19% | 20+/-3% | +1% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan | 42% | 45% | 43% | 45+/-4% | +2% |
| Net approval rate | -20% | -29%[6] | -24% | -26+/-6% | -2% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip | 25% | 21% | 21% | 23+/-3% | +2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip | 34% | 39% | 45%[6] | 49+/-4% | +4% |
| Net approval rate | -9% | -18%[6] | -24% | -26+/-6% | -2% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau | 23% | 20% | 24% | 21+/-3% | -3% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau | 42%[6] | 48%[6] | 43% | 48+/-4% | +6%[6] |
| Net approval rate | -19%[6] | -28% | -18%[6] | -27+/-6% | -9%[6] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang | 19% | 21% | 23% | 19+/-3% | -4% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang | 37% | 42% | 41% | 50+/-4% | +9%[6] |
| Net approval rate | -18% | -21% | -18% | -31+/-6% | -13%[6] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Security John Lee | 17% | 23%[6] | 26% | 21+/-3% | -5% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Security John Lee | 64%[6] | 60% | 59% | 63+/-4% | +4% |
| Net approval rate | -47% | -37%[6] | -33% | -42+/-7% | -9% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung | 18% | 13%[6] | 15% | 17+/-3% | +2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung | 54% | 64%[6] | 62% | 60+/-4% | -2% |
| Net approval rate | -35% | -51%[6] | -47% | -43+/-6% | +4% |
[5] If the rounded figures are the same, numbers after the decimal point will be considered.
[6] The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Our latest survey shows that the popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam now stands at 28.1 marks. Her approval rate is 21%, disapproval rate 69%, giving a net popularity of negative 48 percentage points. All popularity figures have not changed much from half a month ago.
As for the Secretaries of Departments, the support rating of CS Matthew Cheung is 28.5 marks. His approval rate is 16%, disapproval rate 54%, giving a net popularity of negative 39 percentage points. The support rating of FS Paul Chan is 35.5 marks, approval rate 28%, disapproval rate 46%, thus a net popularity of negative 18 percentage points. As for SJ Teresa Cheng, her support rating is 20.8 marks, approval rate 13%, disapproval rate 69%, giving a net popularity of negative 56 percentage points. All popularity figures above have not changed much from a month ago.
As for the Directors of Bureaux, all 13 of them register negative net approval rates. The top position goes to Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing, followed by Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui, Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit, Secretary for Development Michael Wong, Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui, Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong, Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan, Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan, Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip, Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau, Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang, Secretary for Security John Lee and Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung.
Compared to two months ago, the net approval rate of 1 Director has gone up while 12 have gone down. Those of Sophia Chan, Erick Tsang, Law Chi-kwong, Alfred Sit, Edward Yau and Michael Wong have changed beyond sampling error, down by 17, 13, 10, 9, 9 and 8 percentage points respectively. The net approval rates of Michael Wong and Law Chi-kwong have registered historical lows since they took office.
According to POP’s standard, no one falls under the category of “ideal” or “successful” performer. The performance of Paul Chan, Sophia Chan, Law Chi-kwong, Patrick Nip, Wong Kam-sing, Edward Yau, Frank Chan, Alfred Sit and Caspar Tsui can be labeled as “mediocre”. That of Christopher Hui and Michael Wong can be labeled as “inconspicuous”. John Lee, Kevin Yeung, Matthew Cheung and Erick Tsang fall into the category of “depressing” performer, while Carrie Lam and Teresa Cheng fall into that of “disastrous”.
The following table summarizes the grading of CE Carrie Lam and the principal officials:
| “Ideal”: those with approval rates of over 66%; ranked by their approval rates shown inside brackets[7] |
| Nil |
| “Successful”: those with approval rates of over 50%; ranked by their approval rates shown inside brackets[7] |
| Nil |
| “Mediocre”: those not belonging to other 5 types; ranked by their approval rates shown inside brackets[7] |
| FS Paul Chan Mo-po (28%)
Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan Siu-chee (27%) Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong (24%) Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip Tak-kuen (23%) Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing (22%) Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau Tang-wah (21%) Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan Fan (20%) Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit Wing-hang (19%) Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui Ying-wai (17%) |
| “Inconspicuous”: those with recognition rates of less than 50%
ranked by their approval rates[7] the first figure inside bracket is approval rate while the second figure is recognition rate |
| Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui Ching-yu (16%, 43%)
Secretary for Development Michael Wong Wai-lun (15%, 47%) |
| “Depressing”: those with disapproval rates of over 50%
ranked by their disapproval rates shown inside brackets[7] |
| Secretary for Security John Lee Ka-chiu (63%)
Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung Yun-hung (60%) CS Matthew Cheung Kin-chung (54%) Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang Kwok-wai (50%) |
| “Disastrous”: those with disapproval rates of over 66%
ranked by their disapproval rates shown inside brackets[7] |
| CE Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor (69%)
SJ Teresa Cheng Yeuk-wah (69%) |
[7] If the rounded figures are the same, numbers after the decimal point will be considered.
Opinion Daily
In 2007, POP started collaborating with Wisers Information Limited whereby Wisers supplies to POP a record of significant events of that day according to the research method designed by POP. These daily entries would then become “Opinion Daily” after they are verified by POP.
For some of the polling items covered in this press release, the previous survey was conducted from 6 to 9 July, 2020 while this survey was conducted from 31 August to 4 September, 2020. During this period, herewith the significant events selected from counting newspaper headlines and commentaries on a daily basis and covered by at least 25% of the local newspaper articles. Readers can make their own judgment if these significant events have any impacts to different polling figures.
| 3/9/20 | The Universal Community Testing Programme locates two new cases among about 128,000 tests conducted. |
| 2/9/20 | The government relaxes anti-epidemic measures. |
| 1/9/20 | About 126,000 people have taken the test on the first day of the Universal Community Testing Programme. |
| 27/8/20 | China Coast Guard intercepted a speedboat to Taiwan on August 23 and arrested 12 yonng Hong Kong people. |
| 26/8/20 | Police arrests 13 people who were not “people in white” for rioting in the 7.21 incident. |
| 25/8/20 | The government relaxes anti-epidemic measures. |
| 19/8/20 | Unemployment rate in Hong Kong rises to 6.1%. |
| 18/8/20 | The government announces the second round of Employment Support Scheme. |
| 10/8/20 | Police searches Next Media and arrests Jimmy Lai, Agnes Chow and other people under national security law. |
| 8/8/20 | The Hong Kong government issues statement condemning US sanction on 11 Chinese or Hong Kong government officials. |
| 7/8/20 | The government announces mass voluntary coronavirus testing scheme. |
| 1/8/20 | The first team from the National Health Commission arrives in Hong Kong. |
| 31/7/20 | The government postpones the Legislative Council election for a year. |
| 30/7/20 | Nominations of 12 democrats for Legislative Council election are invalidated. |
| 29/7/20 | All-day dine-in ban takes effect, forcing people to eat in the streets. |
| 28/7/20 | HKU Council decides to dismiss Benny Tai with immediate effect. |
| 27/7/20 | The government tightens restrictions of group gatherings to 2 people and imposes all-day dine-in ban. |
| 25/7/20 | Hong Kong confirms 126 local infections with coronavirus disease, while over 100 patients are waiting to be admitted to hospital. |
| 19/7/20 | The government announces that some civil servants will work from home and makes wearing of masks mandatory in indoor public places. |
| 13/7/20 | The government tightens restrictions of group gatherings to 4 people and imposes dine-in ban during nighttime. |
| 6/7/20 | The implementation rules for the national security law are gazetted by the government. |
Data Analysis
The latest survey shows that the popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam now stands at 28.1 marks. Her net popularity is negative 48 percentage points. Both popularity figures have not changed much from half a month ago.
As for the Secretaries of Departments, the support rating of CS Matthew Cheung is 28.5 marks and his net popularity is negative 39 percentage points. The support rating of FS Paul Chan is 35.5 marks and his net popularity is negative 18 percentage points. As for SJ Teresa Cheng, her support rating is 20.8 marks and her net popularity is negative 56 percentage points. All popularity figures above have not changed much from a month ago.
As for the Directors of Bureaux, all 13 of them register negative net approval rates. Compared to two months ago, only net approval rate of Kevin Yeung has gone up while the other 12 have all gone down. Those of Sophia Chan, Erick Tsang, Law Chi-kwong, Alfred Sit, Edward Yau and Michael Wong have changed beyond sampling error, down by 17, 13, 10, 9, 9 and 8 percentage points respectively. The net approval rates of Michael Wong and Law Chi-kwong have registered historical lows since they took office.
